How do I pick a winner in sports?

Picking a winner, either for fun or for profit (if you’re a betting man!) is not always the easiest task. While certainly in some match-ups (a top vs bottom premier league team, or undefeated fighter va a journeyman for instance) the outcome is much more assured, there are plenty of competitive sporting events where it’s more a matter of degrees and weighting up various pros and cons.

There are aspects of lucky and chance in the mix too, because nobody can truly, perpetually predict ‘what comes next’. However, if you’re right more often than not you may well be jackpot jill, when compared to the average Joe.

Even if you’re a pro or analyst of sorts, some events, such as the recent Grand National in the UK have so many variables that it’s far from a formality to deduce what the result will be. As such it’s more about the value of the given betting odds on the day rather than the need to pick the winner in every event you’re betting on. Play the percentages!

A decent comparison to all of this is with the poker crowd at casinos, both online and off. While there are no doubt elements of luck – as no-one knows which cards they’re going to receive – how you play your hand (or rather how you use your knowledge and ability) can be key to winning or losing long term. It can separate the high roller online casino types from those just ‘winging it’. Keep your cool and use your head, and you’ll go far!

Which much see National Hunt Racing Festival Starts Today?

The Cheltenham Festival 2021 of course. Yes, it’s that time of year again. The prestigious Cheltenham Festival is back with us again between 16th – 19th March. It’s both an event that draws in the purists and the casual racing fans alike, both in the UK and around the world. The festival has prize money second only to the Grand National, which in itself tells you all you need to know about its popularity. Throughout this week of top racing action we are treated to unmissable action in the likes of the Champion Chase, Stayers Hurdle and of course the Cheltenham Gold Cup. But don’t just take my word for it, just look how excited some of our top Premier League footballers (Jesse Lingard and co) are about the Cheltenham Festival courtesy of this fun Cheltenham themed Betway quiz they took part in.

Super Bowl LV Preview & Betting Odds

It almost seems like a dream. We are at the culmination of a crazy season. It was riddled with question marks and then set precedence for other sports to follow.

Now we are a month into a brand new year, and it feels almost like a rinse wash and repeat. In early February of 2020, the news was hitting of a pending pandemic called coronavirus—that confused the hell out of anyone who knows anything about viruses because all flus and many colds are coronaviruses… so come on, guys, let’s be a little more specific—and just one month later everything was shut down.

Here we are, a full year later, and things are still shut down in many parts of the country. Heck, this will be the lowest attended Super Bowl in the history of the Super Bowl. Can we get back to normal now, please, because this ‘new normal’ that we are getting brainwashed to accept is NOT *%#ing normal?

Seriously, 14,500 fans plus 7,500 healthcare workers is not an acceptable number for something as important to the world of sports as the Super Bowl. In 2009, the Steelers vs. Cardinals played in Raymond James Stadium, and there were 70,774 people in the stands.

Why am I going on about this?

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers made history by becoming the first team in the history of the sport to make it to the Super Bowl while their town and stadium are the bid-winning host city. However, they got severely shafted by our good buddy, Mr. ‘Rona, and instead of people smashing the gates from all over Florida, get just 14,500 fans in the seats, most of which will be from elsewhere in the US.


Super Bowl LV Betting Odds

The Kansas City Chiefs came out on the betting odds boards as 3-point favorites at sites like, Pinnacle, and Bookmaker over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Since then, the line is still holding strong with no movement either way at most shops.
When we consider the power ratings, the Buccaneers are a point better on most power rating indexes. That said, even ESPN’s questionable FPI that has the Chiefs a little less than one point better stills points us to a high probability that Mr. Super Bowl (Tom Brady) and the Buccs will get the back door cover against the spread. When you factor in the fact that Tampa Bay has home-field advantage, an outright win for the Buccaneers at +150 starts to look mighty valuable.

Kansas City @ Tampa Bay by the Numbers

The Buccaneers have the No. 2 total scoring offense in the NFL. They average 30.74 points per game. On top of this, they also have the No. 2 passing offense, at 287.11 yards per game. Comparatively, the Chiefs have the No. 5 scoring offense in the league at 29.61points per game (just a little more than a point fewer) and the No.1 passing offense in the league with 305.56 yards per affair.
When it comes to running the ball, the Chiefs rank 16th with 112.78, and the Buccs rank 27th with 98.11. Their number of plays and yards per play are quite comparable at 64.16 plays per game to 65.78 for the Buccs and Chiefs, respectively, and 6.00 ypp for TB and 6.36 for KC per game.

Defensively, the Buccaneers rank No. 9 overall in score allowed with 22.32, to the Chiefs No. 10 ranking at 22.39. Virtually the same in this stat. But that Tampa Bay run defense, which ranks No. 1 in the league, is going to make the Chiefs’ offense a little more one-dimensional than usual. Tampa Bay only allows 81.37 per game, compared to the Chiefs 121.94. Passing, the Chiefs secondary is a bit better, allowing just 233.83 per game compared to the Buccaneers’ 249.37. Tampa Bay comes back, and counters with a better yards per play allowed stat, which ranks 7th in the NFL at just 5.15 yards per play. The Chiefs are middle of the road, at No. 16 in this category.

This is going to be a battle to the end, and anything can happen. But the Chiefs have had narrow wins all season. So much so that they are just 1-8-1 against the spread over their last ten games. So, take the Buccaneers to get the backdoor cover at +3

Sport: A Welcome Distraction

We live in strange and troubling times where we can take nothing for granted. For months on end, not only did we have to deal with unnerving unknowns, but also our most beloved of sports were put on ice. It led to many twiddling their thumbs and looking for hobbies at home. Exercise, online fun such as casino usa, movies – we were all scrambling for ideas. Thankfully now, although crowds are still not allowed at sporting events, the sports themselves are back with a bang, and if you’re anything like me you appreciate it more than ever before. As the saying goes ‘you don’t know what you’ve got ’til it’s gone’.

In the UK the very last major sporting event to be held was the prestigious Cheltenham Festival. Racing crowds into the hundreds of thousands attended the festival (and were later criticised for doing so), but directly following this sport was all but shut down in the country for months on end. Disappointingly this snuffed out the prospect of the jewel in the crown of racing, The Grand National for one of the first times in its 181 year history. Also the world of elite athletics was put on hold, as the Olympics in Japan was postponed for a year. The Premier League season was also put on hold for a period of time, as were numerous boxing world title fights.

Thankfully the Premier League season was later completed (and the next season is running like clockdown) and some top boxing matches have been taking place ‘without’ crowds (often in Barry Hearns back yard), so we’ve turned a corner. Even as another month long lockdown begins in the country today, this time around we won’t be losing sport. We’re no longer confined to the aforementioned perpetual loose end, or even online excitement such as fronlinecasino. We instead have competitive sport back and that means a lot to people. In fact, much more than they may have ever realised.


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